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The Hidden Rhythms That Shape Economic Cycles – A Deep Dive with FSC Director Ray Tomes

Writer's picture: Catherine CashmoreCatherine Cashmore

INTERVIEW TRANSCRIPT SLIDES Time and again, history has shown that booms and busts in real estate, banking, and the economy at large follow a predictable rhythm—a cycle so well-defined that some of the greatest market forecasters have built their entire systems around it.


This cycle is not a theory; it’s an observable pattern, deeply rooted in the fundamentals of land, credit, and construction activity.


Edward R. Dewey, the pioneer of modern cycle research and founder of the Foundation for the Study of Cycles, called it:

"The clearest, most regular pattern revealed in our economic life"

In his 1947 book, Cycles: The Science of Prediction, Dewey noted that the 18-year cycle showed up in real estate transactions, stock prices, bank loans, marriage rates, and even wheat acreage.

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